Saturday, October 16, 2004

evidence of the republicans getting scared

The Kerry Wins Ohio scenario appears to have moved from possibility to plausibility to (gasp!)probability. Evidence? Flailing statements from Republican pollsters to try to put a better face on it. From
"'You have to trust the general trend, which has us doing better in Ohio,' said Matt Dowd, a top Bush-Cheney strategist. 'They just pulled out of West Virginia with their advertising, and they've now stopped their trips. If they were winning in Ohio, then they wouldn't be pulling out of West Virginia. It's an area of the country that's very similar.'"
Here is a couple numbers from the Census Bureau regarding the similarity of the two states: Ohio, 13.7% African American; West Virginia, 3.4%.


Anonymous said...

And let's not forget that Ohio has five times the number of electoral votes as West Virginia. Could it be that sacrificing the smaller state and directing those resources toward winning the larger state is a strategic move? I wonder...

jeremy said...

That could be too. Although last time Gore abandoned Ohio and fought to the end in West Virginia, I think.