Above is a graph of the predicted probabilities over the past year of Barack Obama being the Democratic nominee for president, as available on intrade.com. The red line corresponds to when I officially endorsed Obama on this weblog.
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3 comments:
Just stopping by to say, "I miss you and your blog!" It's been a while since I was here and I see I've got lots of catch up on.
FYI - I think Vegas in December will provide lots of new blogging material!
Anyone else here(out there) want JF to join me in Vegas in December?
If he plays the tables the way he picks candidates, The House certainly does.
I'm going with causality.
Causation! Causality is the relation between cause and effect. Causation is the action of causing something.
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