Wednesday, October 24, 2007

correlation, or causality?


Above is a graph of the predicted probabilities over the past year of Barack Obama being the Democratic nominee for president, as available on The red line corresponds to when I officially endorsed Obama on this weblog.


sal said...

Just stopping by to say, "I miss you and your blog!" It's been a while since I was here and I see I've got lots of catch up on.

FYI - I think Vegas in December will provide lots of new blogging material!

Anyone else here(out there) want JF to join me in Vegas in December?

Ken Houghton said...

If he plays the tables the way he picks candidates, The House certainly does.

I'm going with causality.

Kieran said...

Causation! Causality is the relation between cause and effect. Causation is the action of causing something.